Category Archives: coal

The Multidisciplinary Challenges of Clean Tech

I am having a blast covering clean tech from a research and consulting perspective. What is it that makes clean tech such a stimulating area?

The panel discussions at the excellent Financial Times conference on the U.S. energy business yesterday prompted me to reflect on this question. (You can see my conference tweets here.)

Yes, the opportunities are huge. And yes, the core problems the sector is tackling, including climate change and energy availability, are critically important. Beyond that, though, there’s this: the hurdles facing this set of industries are high. If you like hard challenges, clean tech has a lot to offer. Consider these challenges, all of which surfaced in discussion at the conference.

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Scientific and technical. Researchers are working to break new ground in areas ranging from basic materials science in photovoltaics and batteries to engineering and systems design in smart grid. No new scientific breakthroughs were announced at the conference but there was buzz about the successful IPO of battery maker A123 Systems. It was observed that this IPO was not a mere liquidity event for the investors. It was a critical capital infusion necessary to enable the business to scale up while continuing to perfect its technology.

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Political. This area is way more political than IT or even financial services, two areas where I’ve spent a good chunk of my career. From BP America chairman Lamar McKay arguing for the “equitable” distribution of costs of moving to a low-carbon economy to PSE&G president Ralph LaRossa complaining of his utility’s struggle to get a permit to run a transmission line on an existing right of way, so much of the commercial and environmental promise of clean tech depends on clearing political hurdles.
Financial. The financial needs of the clean tech sector present a variety of challenges. A few examples:

  • Most consumers and businesses are not prepared to make capital investments to obtain electric power. So new financing mechanisms have had to be invented to make it easier for businesses and consumers to buy solar power, rather than solar panels.
  • Given the importance that coal is expected to continue to have for a long time, carbon capture and storage (CCS) is an experimental technology that is drawing  a lot of interest. But, as Alan Salzman of VantagePoint Venture Partners observed at the conference, it does not fit the model of venture capital investing.At least it’s been tough for start ups in this area to attract much VC.
  • Energy is a giant business, and most energy generation technologies need to be able to scale up to enormous volumes to be practical. Salzman’s panel was in agreement that while VC investments might be able to help get some of these companies to $100 million in revenue, they will need some kind of bridge financing to get them to the billion-dollar level that can establish their long-term viability.

Behavioral and Attitudinal. Some clean tech plays depend on changes in consumer behavior:  electric vehicles, for instance, obviously require a change in how consumers fill up their cars. Home energy management, a promise of the smart grid,will require a change in consumer attitudes too. According to a consumer survey conducted earlier this year by Pike Research, some 30% of consumers felt that “demand response” programs smack of “Big Brother.” (Demand response programs allow utilities, with the consent of consumers, to turn off or turn down certain power loads at consumer homes.) LaRossa of PSE&G said his customers were not ready for it.

Clean tech is a highly interdisciplinary field, and not only because the definition is broad. It’s also because its future depends on tackling challenges across science, finance, politics and consumer behavior. What more fun could you ask for?

If this post inspired any thoughts, please consider leaving a comment.

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My Clean, Green, Sustainable Reading List

Over the last few months I’ve been reading through the literature on clean tech, energy and sustainability. In case you are looking for suggestions, I can recommend any or all of these. If you have any reactions or suggestions for further reading, please consider leaving a comment.

Solar Revolution: The Economic Transformation of the Global Energy Industry
Solar Revolution” provides an excellent overview of the spectrum of solar energy technologies and the prospects for the growth of solar energy. It is the

most thorough treatment I’ve ever read on the subject. Travis Bradford presents a holistic model comparing the total cost of solar energy with grid-based electricity alternatives and finds that solar is already more cost effective than many people realize. He also develops a sophisticated and persuasive model of the growth of the solar industry to show convincingly that solar is destined to become “the preferred energy choice for a large majority of locations and applications.”

Earth: The Sequel: The Race to Reinvent Energy and Stop Global Warming
Interesting and inspiring overview by Fred Krupp, president of Environmental Defense Fund, of the many technologies that are pointing the way to a carbon-free future and a chance of averting environmental catastrophe. Plenty of specific examples and some colorful characters as well. The book returns repeatedly to the importance of creating a cap and trade system in the U.S. It’s logic is as good as any I’ve seen, but it gives the carbon-tax approach short shrift (which is the author’s prerogative.) An engaging read for folks newly wondering how the world will get past fossil fuels.

Harvard Business Review on Green Business Strategy (Harvard Business Review Paperback Series)
Good collection of some classic and more recent articles on the topic of Green Business Strategy, including must-read “A Road Map for Natural Capitalism” by Amory Lovins, Hunter Lovins and Paul Hawken.

Getting Green Done: Hard Truths from the Front Lines of the Sustainability Revolution
Charming and witty look at how sustainability happens–and doesn’t–at real companies. Real-world, nitty-gritty examples mixed with some punditry and policy, this book is a good complement to the literature about greening and sustainability. And author Auden Schendler is an engaging storyteller.

Making Sustainability Work: Best Practices in Managing and Measuring Corporate Social, Environmental and Economic Impacts (Business)
Dry but systematic and tailored to the needs of executives and corporate sustainability professionals. Recommended for those kicking off or managing corporate sustainability initiatives.

Strategies for the Green Economy : Opportunities and Challenges in the New World of Business
Nice, crisp and current overview of green/sustainability from corporate and corporate marketing perspective by long-time pundit and consultant Joel Makower.

Green to Gold: How Smart Companies Use Environmental Strategy to Innovate, Create Value, and Build Competitive Advantage
Packed with light case studies and some handy frameworks. If you are doing corporate sustainability you should probably read it, but but I suspect it works best as a lead generator for the authors’ consulting business.

The Clean Tech Revolution: The Next Big Growth and Investment Opportunity
Good overview of the clean tech space.

The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money & Power
Liked it a lot. See my thoughts at elsewhere on this blog.

I welcome your comments on the above or your suggestions for other reading.

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Will the Surge in Natural Gas Reserves Change Our Energy Future?

LOS ANGELES, CA - JUNE 26:  Hydrogen is produc...
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Coal reserves have plunged. And natural gas reserves have soared. It might seem like divine intervention by carbon-hating gods. But it raises some questions.  Reforming natural gas into hydrogen is one of the cheapest way of making hydrogen, and it’s a process that could be powered with by renewable energy. With natural gas supplies so plentiful, and prices bound to stay low for a long time, will the US reverse its decision to cut off funding for hydrogen fuel cells? (See my overview of fuel cell technology.) Will this give a boost to the Pickens plan?

The WSJ blog has a discussion of some of these topics.

I haven’t thought deeply about what this glut of natural gas might mean. If you have any thoughts about it, I’d love to read your comments.

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Revising Coal Reserves Downward

Rebecca Smith had a fascinating story in the Wall Street Journal Yesterday about evolving

Powder River Basin Province of northeastern Wy...
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methods of estimating coal reserves.  Recently, coal reserve estimates have been revised downward after considering economic factors, such as the coal-price at which extraction is profitable while still ensuring coal is competitive with other fuels.

The story is noteworthy for the rich assortment of data points it contains, which really give the story depth and context. Below is a sample of some of these data points.

Ms. Smith crushed this story. A must read for folks interested in coal, fossil fuels, or the energy sector generally.

Years the U.S. coal reserve will last (EIA) 240
Years the U.S. coal reserve will last (David Rutledge, C.I.T) 120
Annual U.S. coal production 1.1 billion tons
Amount production is expected to drop in 2009 up to 100 million tons
Coal prices $8.50 a ton for coal from Wyoming’s Powder River Basin, down 30% from last year
Share of U.S. coal produced by Arch Coal Inc. 12%
Amount of coal that leaves the Gillette coal field at Powder River each day 1.2 million short tons, filling more than 75 trains of 125 to 150 cars each
Coal reserves in Gillette field 201 billion short tons
Recoverabe coal reserves in Gillette field 77 billion short tons
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Funny Anti “Clean Coal” Ad

http://action.thisisreality.org/page/s/coenbrothers

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